Disarmament by Decree: Lebanon’s Missing Political Roadmap
State sovereignty requires a political transition, economic recovery and an army capable of defending Lebanon’s territory.
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Beyond Disarmament: What Lebanon’s Army Really Needs
Without a new deterrence model, Lebanon and its donors won’t get an army that can disarm Hezbollah, preserve stability, and defend its borders
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Partner or Patron: Why Syria Became More Than a War to Türkiye
As Ankara looks beyond conflict management, Syria is being recast as a crossroads whose future Damascus may struggle to shape.
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Signed, Not Settled: Why Lebanon’s Deal with Israel Won’t Hold
An unrealistic and constitutionally suspect deal paves the way for the next war.
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Glass Decades: The Sunset of Gulf Exceptionalism
The Iran war has forced a reckoning for the GCC’s 35-year project to build security and splendor.
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Decorative Inclusion: How Syria’s Transition Is Undercutting Women
Government policy and complicity feeds an ecosystem of exclusion in political and civic life.
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Capable or Credible: Building Lebanon’s Leverage in Negotiations with Israel
Many claim the Lebanese government has no hand to play in negotiations, but leverage is more than a question of hard power.
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Small Carrot, Long Stick: Lebanese Government’s Foreign Backers Demand Compliance Without Protection
Aligning with the West and Gulf has brought Lebanon no reprieve from Israel’s onslaught.
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Distorted State: How Hezbollah Survived, And What It Means For Lebanon
Thought to be shattered, Hezbollah’s return to the battlefield is challenging assumptions about the war, and reshaping Lebanon’s balance of power.
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Holding the Line: Syria’s Calculated Posture on the Lebanese Border
Why Damascus is containing spillover without stepping into the war.
