Protection Money: Who Lebanon’s Budget Recovery Actually Benefits
The government is making more money than it spends by feeding on the poor to protect its banking class
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Beyond Disarmament: What Lebanon’s Army Really Needs
Without a new deterrence model, Lebanon and its donors won’t get an army that can disarm Hezbollah, preserve stability, and defend its borders
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The End of Pretend: Lebanon Will Reconstruct When It Changes Its Taxation System
With foreign aid drying up and the old debt-fueled model exhausted, rebuilding the country depends on whether Lebanon’s elites pay their fair share
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Signed, Not Settled: Why Lebanon’s Deal with Israel Won’t Hold
An unrealistic and constitutionally suspect deal paves the way for the next war.
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Shelf Control: It’s Time for Lebanon to Make Prices Reasonable
War raises prices, traders raise them further, and Lebanon has the tools to stop it.
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A Play for Time: The Theatre of Lebanon-Israel Negotiations
In talks scripted by Washington, Lebanon tries to improv its way to sovereignty.
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Capable or Credible: Building Lebanon’s Leverage in Negotiations with Israel
Many claim the Lebanese government has no hand to play in negotiations, but leverage is more than a question of hard power.
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Lebanon Cannot Be Bombed Into Sovereignty
A sovereign Lebanon and a demilitarised Hezbollah cannot happen without a credible political transition.
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Small Carrot, Long Stick: Lebanese Government’s Foreign Backers Demand Compliance Without Protection
Aligning with the West and Gulf has brought Lebanon no reprieve from Israel’s onslaught.
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Holding the Line: Syria’s Calculated Posture on the Lebanese Border
Why Damascus is containing spillover without stepping into the war.
