Amid Lebanon’s worst water crisis in decades and a future promising only further scarcity, our government’s strategy to keep the taps flowing is, unfortunately, as well-intentioned as it is unfeasible. With the liveability of our country at stake, Lebanon must get its water planning right. A better path is possible if only our leaders can abandon the outdated mindset that new infrastructure projects are a fix-all and instead commit to the hard work of governance reforms, demand management, and pollution control.
Lebanon has long prided itself on being water-rich compared to its arid neighbors, but as the past year has made painfully clear, that perception – and precipitation – no longer holds up. Energy and Water Minister Joe Saddi said last month that 2025 rainfall has been less than half the country’s annual average. Even if 2025 ends up being an anomaly, accelerating climate change paints a long-term outlook that is frighteningly dry: average yearly rainfall in Lebanon is expected to drop as much as 20% by 2040, and 45% by 2090.
In a proactive initiative, the Lebanese government released its updated National Water Sector Strategy (NWSS) 2024–2035 last year, a comprehensive policy framework designed to address the country’s water challenges through a decade-long modernization of the sector. The updated NWSS represents a notable improvement over its predecessor. It clearly assesses the mounting pressure on water resources and predicts that climate change will intensify water stress by 2035. The strategy also speaks to the importance of non-conventional resources and integrated planning. Beyond this, however, the strategy offers little guidance on concrete steps to turn its vision into reality.
What’s more, the strategy essentially frames water shortages as a future problem. This is made evident by its failure to state the current national water deficit, which obfuscates the reality that Lebanon is already water insecure.
Lebanon’s water crisis results from both quantity and quality challenges: there is not enough water and a large amount of the existing supply is contaminated. Yet the strategy does little to meaningfully tackle pollution.
