Signed, Not Settled: Why Lebanon’s Deal with Israel Won’t Hold
An unrealistic and constitutionally suspect deal paves the way for the next war.

An unrealistic and constitutionally suspect deal paves the way for the next war.

War raises prices, traders raise them further, and Lebanon has the tools to stop it.

How cascading crises and state negligence are fraying the national psyche.

In talks scripted by Washington, Lebanon tries to improv its way to sovereignty.

Many claim the Lebanese government has no hand to play in negotiations, but leverage is more than a question of hard power.

A sovereign Lebanon and a demilitarised Hezbollah cannot happen without a credible political transition.

US ties aid for Lebanon to a demilitarized Hezbollah and detente with Israel, kicking financial reforms to the curb.

Aligning with the West and Gulf has brought Lebanon no reprieve from Israel’s onslaught.

Thought to be shattered, Hezbollah’s return to the battlefield is challenging assumptions about the war, and reshaping Lebanon’s balance of power.

Hezbollah has dragged Lebanon into a war it cannot control—leaving the state to rebuild leverage from weakness.